The Trail
Sunday, April 12, 2026

Tag: inflation

6 articles found

Strait of Hormuz crisis jolts oil as Trump warns Iran
World News

Strait of Hormuz crisis jolts oil as Trump warns Iran

Strait of Hormuz disruption in the Iran–U.S.–Israel war is driving oil prices higher and forcing governments and shippers to plan emergency fuel and routing measures.

OECD global growth forecast cut as energy shock bites
Finance

OECD global growth forecast cut as energy shock bites

OECD global growth forecast now sees world GDP growth at 2.9% in 2026 and 3.0% in 2027, with G20 inflation lifted to 4.0% as the war involving Iran drives an energy shock. March flash PMIs in the euro zone and US show activity cooling while input costs surge.

Russia rate cut to 15.5% signals more easing ahead
Finance

Russia rate cut to 15.5% signals more easing ahead

Russia rate cut: The Bank of Russia lowered its key rate 50bp to 15.5% on February 13, 2026, and said further cuts are possible, shifting the outlook for borrowing costs and inflation risks.

January CPI cools; yields fall as rate-cut bets firm
Finance

January CPI cools; yields fall as rate-cut bets firm

January CPI came in cooler than expected, pushing Treasury yields lower and reinforcing rate-cut expectations as U.S. stocks finished mixed in Friday trading.

U.S. payrolls stall at 50k as S&P 500 hits record
Business

U.S. payrolls stall at 50k as S&P 500 hits record

U.S. payrolls rose just 50,000 in Dec 2025 and unemployment held at 4.4%, while the S&P 500 hit an intraday record as traders kept pricing 2026 Fed easing despite a likely January pause.

AI capex risks reviving inflation, investors warn
Business

AI capex risks reviving inflation, investors warn

AI capex is emerging as a 2026 market risk as investors warn the data-center and chip buildout could keep inflation sticky, limit rate cuts, and force a rotation away from crowded AI trades.